Capital Formation and Risk SharingEXPORT FINANCE AND INSURANCE FOR CDR EQUIPMENT AND SERVICES
Lever last updated: 10 September 2026
Export credit and insurance that helps domestic CDR equipment and service providers sell abroad.
Cost
Low to Very high
The institution pays for staff, transaction assessment, lending capital, reserves and claims. Total cost depends on the instrument, value of supported exports and frequency and severity of defaults.
Complexity
Medium to High
Existing agencies must add CDR eligibility and project-use checks. New programmes also require legislation, capital, risk assessment, contracts, sanctions screening, safeguards, claims handling, recovery procedures and international coordination.
Timeline
Short to Medium
An existing agency could support its first qualifying CDR export within one to two years. Creating legal authority, capital and operating systems may take two to five years.
Integrity, Transparency & MRV
Innovation & Cost Reduction
Social & Environmental Safeguards
Energy, Transport & Storage Infrastructure
Inputs & Capacity
Demand Formation
Bankability and Cost of Capital
Policy Architecture & Coordination
Overview
Governments can help domestic companies sell carbon-removal equipment and services to customers in other countries. The export might be a biochar production unit, direct-air-capture equipment, CO₂ monitoring technology or engineering for transport and storage. A public export-finance agency can lend to the foreign buyer, guarantee its bank loan or insure the seller against non-payment. This allows an overseas project to place an order that banks or insurers considered too risky. The support may expand CDR supply chains and deployment abroad.
Key Considerations
Eligibility should identify the equipment and services covered, the CDR activities they must support and how much must come from domestic suppliers. Support may insure the seller, finance the foreign customer or guarantee a bank loan. Agencies need to examine whether the customer can repay, whether political or currency risks could interrupt payment and whether the equipment will support genuine atmospheric or sustainable biogenic CO₂ removal. Coverage limits, fees and reserves protect public funds. Environmental safeguards, debt sustainability, corruption, sanctions, commercial confidentiality and procedures for recovering money after defaults also matter.
Opportunities
Public risk cover can unlock overseas orders that are commercially credible but cannot obtain affordable finance or insurance. Foreign customers gain access to equipment and expertise, while domestic suppliers can accept larger contracts and build manufacturing, installation and operating experience. Longer repayment periods can suit infrastructure that earns revenue gradually. These transactions may expand international CDR capacity and supply chains, but only if the receiving project secures its remaining finance, becomes operational and delivers net removals.
Risks
Taxpayers may bear losses if the foreign customer defaults or political events prevent repayment. Weak eligibility could support fossil carbon capture, equipment that remains unused or projects that never deliver net removals. Public backing may replace finance that banks would have provided, favour large exporters or encourage excessive borrowing. Confidentiality can obscure public exposure, while domestic sourcing requirements may increase project costs or exclude better equipment.
Monitoring and Evaluation
Evaluation should compare supported transactions with the finance otherwise available, then follow equipment delivery, project commissioning, operation and verified net removals. Fees, claims, recoveries and unpaid debt show the public financial exposure. Persistent defaults, idle equipment, weak removal performance or little additional private finance should lead to changes in eligibility, coverage, pricing or project assessment.
Stakeholder Engagement
Exporters, overseas customers, banks and insurers should help identify credible orders that fail because financing or payment risks are too high. Export-finance officials, CDR experts and host-country authorities need to assess repayment, project use and removal integrity. Local communities and civil society should inform environmental and social safeguards, while finance ministries determine acceptable public exposure.
Governance Levels
International agreements can establish common limits for publicly supported export finance and prevent governments from competing through excessive subsidies. Supranational institutions can share risks across participating countries and extend the capacity of national agencies. National governments normally create and fund export-finance institutions, which approve transactions and bear claims. Regional or state governments can operate comparable programmes where they possess trade and financial authority.
Implementation Strategies
Define the CDR equipment and services that qualify, their required domestic contribution and the overseas activities they may support.
Offer loans, guarantees or insurance only where assessment shows that public risk-sharing is needed to complete a credible transaction.
Link finance to delivery, commissioning, safeguards and evidence that the equipment is used for qualifying removal rather than fossil carbon capture.
Publish portfolio performance and adjust fees, coverage or eligibility when defaults, idle equipment or displacement of private finance become persistent.
Case Studies

International export-credit terms for direct air capture
In January 2026, governments participating in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development’s export-credit agreement recognised projects that capture CO₂ from ambient air, prepare it, transport it and store it permanently underground. Participating export-finance agencies may offer repayment periods of up to 22 years for eligible transactions. The agreement excludes enhanced oil recovery and requires monitoring for leakage. It does not itself provide finance and reports no supported CDR transaction. It establishes that national agencies may offer longer-term export finance for relevant CDR equipment and projects, not that such support has delivered removals.

UK Export Finance
UK Export Finance provides loans, guarantees and insurance that help overseas customers buy goods and services from British companies. Its audited 2024–25 report records GBP14.5 billion of new support, GBP278 million of claims paid, GBP111 million recovered and GBP94 million of operating costs. It also returned GBP146 million of profit to government that year. The agency demonstrates how public institutions assess transactions, assume payment risk and recover losses at scale. Its report identifies clean-growth transactions but no CDR export, making this an institutional example rather than evidence of removal deployment.

EU Ukraine export-credit pilot
The European Commission and European Investment Bank Group announced a EUR300 million export-credit guarantee facility in June 2024. It shares risk with national agencies so European companies can sell goods and services to Ukrainian customers despite heightened commercial and political risks. The European Investment Fund signed its first agreement in June 2025, providing Denmark’s agency with up to EUR20 million of additional capacity. By April 2026, nine agencies from eight countries had joined. The programme demonstrates supranational risk-sharing for exports.
More Capital Formation and Risk Sharing

Advance market commitments
A binding promise to buy a set volume of removals at an agreed price once suppliers deliver.
Cost
Low to Very high
Complexity
Medium to High
Timeline
Very short to Medium
Integrity, Transparency & MRV
2–4Innovation & Cost Reduction
2–5Social & Environmental Safeguards
1–3Energy, Transport & Storage Infrastructure
N/AInputs & Capacity
N/ADemand Formation
3–5Bankability and Cost of Capital
3–5Policy Architecture & Coordination
1–3
Carbon contracts for difference (CCfDs)
A guaranteed price per verified tonne that tops up revenue when the market price falls short.
Cost
Low to Very high
Complexity
High
Timeline
Short to Medium
Integrity, Transparency & MRV
2–3Innovation & Cost Reduction
2–4Social & Environmental Safeguards
1–3Energy, Transport & Storage Infrastructure
N/AInputs & Capacity
N/ADemand Formation
2–4Bankability and Cost of Capital
4–5Policy Architecture & Coordination
2–4Publicly Supported Currency Hedging
Public backing enabling a specialist provider to offer currency hedges CDR developers can't get commercially.
Cost
Low to Medium
Complexity
Low to High
Timeline
Very short to Medium
Integrity, Transparency & MRV
N/AInnovation & Cost Reduction
N/ASocial & Environmental Safeguards
N/AEnergy, Transport & Storage Infrastructure
N/AInputs & Capacity
N/ADemand Formation
1–2Bankability and Cost of Capital
3–4Policy Architecture & Coordination
1–2©2026 Alexander Mäkelä and Carbon Gap.
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Headline and barrier scores based on Carbon Gap analysis.